The ninth tropical depression of the Atlantic Ocean hurricane season developed in the central Atlantic on September 16, 2015. The day before, NASA's RapidScat instrument analyzed the surface winds of the developing low pressure area and found tropical-storm-force winds in one quadrant of the system. NASA's Aqua satellite looked at the depression and saw that it was already being affected by wind shear.
RapidScat data on September 15 at 10 a.m. EDT showed that the strongest sustained winds in the developing depression were north of the center near 24 meters per second (53.6 mph/ 86.4 kph).
Winds around the rest of the system were around 20 meters per second/72 km/44.7 mph, with the exception of the western quadrant, which were weaker. RapidScat wind data was analyzed by the RapidScat team at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, California.
Infrared data from the Atmospheric Infrared Sounder or AIRS instrument aboard NASA's Aqua satellite on Sept. 16 at 04:23 UTC (12:23 a.m. EDT) showed cold cloud tops of powerful thunderstorms wrapping north and east of the developing depression's center. Cloud top temperatures were as cold as -63F/-53C, and were capable of generating heavy rain.
At 11 a.m. (1500 UTC) on September 16 the center of Tropical Depression Nine was located near latitude 15.0 North, longitude 43.1 West. That puts the center about 1,270 miles (2,050 km) west of the Cape Verde Islands.
The depression is moving toward the north-northwest near 8 mph (13 kph). Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 kph) with higher gusts. The National Hurricane Center noted that little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1010 millibars.
National Hurricane Center Forecaster Brennan noted that some southwesterly vertical wind shear is already affecting the cyclone, with most of the thunderstorms, clouds and convection (rising air that forms the thunderstorms that make up a tropical cyclone) pushed east and north of the estimated center position.
Brennan noted that the environment will becomes less favorable from this point forward, with the wind shear forecast to quickly increase over the next day and remain high through the remainder of the forecast period. In addition, the southwesterly flow aloft will bring dry mid- to upper-level air over the cyclone.
NHC expects Tropical Depression 9 to move in a north-northwestward to northwestward direction for the next couple of days and then turn west-northwest in four days.
Rob Gutro | EurekAlert!
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