Forum for Science, Industry and Business

Sponsored by:     3M 
Search our Site:

 

An Eye on Earl: RENCI Models the Path of Hurricane as Its Heads Towards the East Coast

02.09.2010
As Hurricane Earl strengthens and heads closer to North Carolina’s coast, RENCI researchers are tracking its every move with a Weather Research Forecast (WRF) model that plots the storm’s course on a grid, with each point in the grid representing a 3 kilometer by 3 kilometer box.

The model’s 3 km resolution is significant because it means scientists do not need to use parameterization schemes—a method used to predict the collective effects of many clouds that might exist within a grid box—in the model.

Parameterizations often result in models that underestimate a storm’s intensity, says Brian Etherton, a senior atmospheric scientist at RENCI. Storm intensity also affects the storm track, so RENCI’s model predicts a somewhat different track than the models run by the National Center for Environmental Prediction (NCEP), the National Weather Service division that provides most of the commonly used forecasting products.

“Our model shows Earl coming closer to the coast than the NCEP forecasts,” says Etherton. “The National Weather Service offices in Raleigh, Wilmington and Morehead City are all looking at our output. It is a research tool that we can compare to other models. When the storm is over we can evaluate our model and its value in predicting the track and intensity of Earl.”

... more about:
»Etherton »Eye Tracking »Hurricane »NCEP »RENCI »UNC »Weather

The high reolution WRF model was developed in collaboration with Gary Lackmann, an atmospheric scientist at North Carolina State University.

In addition to the WRF model, RENCI scientists are modeling coastal storm surge and waves associated with Hurricane Earl. Those models show that waves up to 4 meters high (more than 12 feet) might occur off the North Carolina coast by Friday. The models will also show storm surge, or the height of water pushed inland by the storm, as the storm moves closer to North Carolina.

All the models are run twice a day using RENCI’s Dell/Intel supercomputer Blue Ridge, which is capable of 8 trillion calculations per second.

View Hurricane Earl Storm track: http://www.sensordatabus.org/wrf/Pages/HurNCTimeSeries.aspx

View animated loop of Earl’s track: http://www.sensordatabus.org/wrf/Pages/HurNCImagesLoops.aspx

About RENCI
RENCI (the Renaissance Computing Institute) applies advanced technology resources and expertise to problems identified by the state of North Carolina and to university research initiatives. Its research contributes to the development of the next generation of technology infrastructure and cyber tools. Founded as a major collaboration involving UNC Chapel Hill, Duke University and North Carolina State University, RENCI is a statewide organization based at UNC Chapel Hill with facilities at campuses across North Carolina. For more see http://www.renci.org.

Karen Green | Newswise Science News
Further information:
http://www.renci.org

Further reports about: Etherton Eye Tracking Hurricane NCEP RENCI UNC Weather

More articles from Earth Sciences:

nachricht Novel method for investigating pore geometry in rocks
18.06.2018 | Kyushu University, I2CNER

nachricht Decades of satellite monitoring reveal Antarctic ice loss
14.06.2018 | University of Maryland

All articles from Earth Sciences >>>

The most recent press releases about innovation >>>

Die letzten 5 Focus-News des innovations-reports im Überblick:

Im Focus: Overdosing on Calcium

Nano crystals impact stem cell fate during bone formation

Scientists from the University of Freiburg and the University of Basel identified a master regulator for bone regeneration. Prasad Shastri, Professor of...

Im Focus: AchemAsia 2019 will take place in Shanghai

Moving into its fourth decade, AchemAsia is setting out for new horizons: The International Expo and Innovation Forum for Sustainable Chemical Production will take place from 21-23 May 2019 in Shanghai, China. With an updated event profile, the eleventh edition focusses on topics that are especially relevant for the Chinese process industry, putting a strong emphasis on sustainability and innovation.

Founded in 1989 as a spin-off of ACHEMA to cater to the needs of China’s then developing industry, AchemAsia has since grown into a platform where the latest...

Im Focus: First real-time test of Li-Fi utilization for the industrial Internet of Things

The BMBF-funded OWICELLS project was successfully completed with a final presentation at the BMW plant in Munich. The presentation demonstrated a Li-Fi communication with a mobile robot, while the robot carried out usual production processes (welding, moving and testing parts) in a 5x5m² production cell. The robust, optical wireless transmission is based on spatial diversity; in other words, data is sent and received simultaneously by several LEDs and several photodiodes. The system can transmit data at more than 100 Mbit/s and five milliseconds latency.

Modern production technologies in the automobile industry must become more flexible in order to fulfil individual customer requirements.

Im Focus: Sharp images with flexible fibers

An international team of scientists has discovered a new way to transfer image information through multimodal fibers with almost no distortion - even if the fiber is bent. The results of the study, to which scientist from the Leibniz-Institute of Photonic Technology Jena (Leibniz IPHT) contributed, were published on 6thJune in the highly-cited journal Physical Review Letters.

Endoscopes allow doctors to see into a patient’s body like through a keyhole. Typically, the images are transmitted via a bundle of several hundreds of optical...

Im Focus: Photoexcited graphene puzzle solved

A boost for graphene-based light detectors

Light detection and control lies at the heart of many modern device applications, such as smartphone cameras. Using graphene as a light-sensitive material for...

All Focus news of the innovation-report >>>

Anzeige

Anzeige

VideoLinks
Industry & Economy
Event News

Munich conference on asteroid detection, tracking and defense

13.06.2018 | Event News

2nd International Baltic Earth Conference in Denmark: “The Baltic Sea region in Transition”

08.06.2018 | Event News

ISEKI_Food 2018: Conference with Holistic View of Food Production

05.06.2018 | Event News

 
Latest News

Carbon nanotube optics provide optical-based quantum cryptography and quantum computing

19.06.2018 | Physics and Astronomy

How to track and trace a protein: Nanosensors monitor intracellular deliveries

19.06.2018 | Life Sciences

New material for splitting water

19.06.2018 | Physics and Astronomy

VideoLinks
Science & Research
Overview of more VideoLinks >>>