Detailed scientific analysis by the European Commission, through its advanced crop yield forecasting system, shows that this year’s production will be at least 28 million tonnes below last years’ record numbers (about 10% less), but total EU cereal harvest remains in line with the average of the last five years.
The main reason for this drop is the impact of drought on crop yields. Production areas most affected are in Spain, Portugal, France, Italy and Central Greece. The forecast published today by the Commission provides yield estimates for the main crops throughout the European Union, comparing these with last year’s production and the average harvests over the last five years. It also identifies the areas most affected by this year’s extreme weather conditions and compares the situation with past extreme events.
The crop reduction is mainly explained by dry conditions and hot temperatures which have had an impact on water resources in the affected areas. The geographic extension could spread and crop yield impact worsen, if the drought continues. Irrigation limitations would additionally affect grain maize as well as sugar beet and potatoes.
Berta Duane | alfa
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